Is Hillary Toast?
by Big Dog on Jan 5, 2008 at 18:37 Political
Fresh off her third place finish in the Iowa caucus, Hillary Clinton is trying to reinvent herself once again. She enjoyed a small lead in New Hampshire but that seems to have eroded according to the latest Rasmussen poll. B. Hussein Obama now leads Hillary Clinton by ten points with the primary only three days away. A lot will ride on tonight’s debate and I expect Hillary to go very negative. She will be attacking Obama all night long.
The attacks have already begun as the Clinton campaign sent out a mailer criticizing Obama on his abortion rights record. Hillary’s mailer claims that Obama did not take any stance on abortion issues where as she has been the champion of women’s right to choose. She has been trying to reinvent herself starting with claims of being the most experienced candidate (which must have been news to Dodd and Biden who have now bowed out) and then she went to the Obama play book and became the candidate of change. She has been talking about change but is surrounded by relics from her husband’s administration and those who helped him get elected. Not that she shouldn’t use talent she thinks is the best but it is hard to claim you are for change when your campaign rhetoric keeps returning to the days of yesteryear. Going back to the Clinton administration is not the best way to present a forward looking campaign.
Rush Limbaugh had an interesting article in his most recent newsletter where he took a bunch of Hillary’s (among others) quotes and showed how she will force people into health coverage, force pharmaceutical companies to lower prices and force oil companies to spend their money of R&D for non fossil fuels. Rush points out that this is the opposite of freedom and that the government should not be making these mandates. Hillary sounds like a Nazi. Interestingly, this silhouette photo (I think it is from AP) makes it look like Hillary is giving a Nazi salute.
Hillary is losing New Hampshire though things might change after the debate but the question is, is she toast? She lost Iowa, and she is behind in New Hampshire. Obama has been running an even campaign and he appears to be picking up momentum. A win in New Hampshire might be the death of Hillary though she, like Giuliani, might be looking to Florida to make a run. The candidate from each party who wins Florida will likely win the nomination. Super Tuesday is right after that and none of them have the money or resources to run ads in all the states participating in that event and it is physically impossible for them to be in all of the states at once. Hillary will probably send Bill to one state with a huge number of delegates while she campaigns in another but she must win Florida in order to compete. She also has to convince voters that Bush, Clinton, Bush, Clinton is a good thing…
This is going to be fun. She is melting down and I would love to see her explode. A few more losses might just do that.
Of course, she might turn things around and win. Then the real fun will begin.
Tags: Hillary Clinton, melt down, new hampshire, Obama, retool
It was a big blow to lose Iowa, but she practically tied for 2nd since it was so close. She runs a very nimble campaign so it will be hard to count her out unless she places 3rd or 4th in NH. If she can pick up a strong 2nd place though she should still have a fighting chance heading into Michigan and Nevada.
Bill Clinton proved you don’t have to win Iowa or New Hampshire to build momentum down the road, but the fact that she actually campaigned hard in Iowa and spent millions makes it a bit different situation.
Averages across polls make it still a tight race between Obama and Hillary though. Should be another nail biter. I don’t think she has to win these first few primaries to do okay, she just has to keep it close enough to keep most of her people on her bandwagon heading into more favorable battles.
Romney winning in WY makes things a bit interesting going into NH for Huckabee. McCain seems to be growing in favor there though too, so who knows? I’m pretty excited to see how the next round goes for both parties.
As you pointed out, she spent a lot of money to come in third. Her husband did not campaign in that state so him not winning it is a different issue. You are right though, he lost the first few before he won. With Super Tuesday the way it is the candidate who wins Florida will most certainly get the nomination because it will put that person in a strong position going into the big day.
Huckabee will have trouble in NH because there is not as big an evangelical base. McCain is liked there and he should win it.
I am not sure that I want Hillary or Mitt in charge of my money. They both spent millions and lost…
[…] Blog, Right Truth, , Shadowscope, Pirate’s Cove, The Pink Flamingo, Cao’s Blog, and Big Dog’s Weblog, thanks to Linkfest Haven […]
The one with the most experience and the advocate of change? I think she should pick one and stay with it. It seems to me to be a repeat of Clinton…all things to all people. I was dismayed it worked then, but maybe we’ll be lucky and it won’t work again.
UK Blogger Arrested…
Can you say Fairness Doctrine? Always on Watch has alerted us to … The terrible news about the upcoming arrest of Lionheart UK reached my inbox in the wee hours of Friday, January 4, 2008: Hi AOWI just wanted to…
Mike Huckabee – you have a shifty mentality…
That’s my impression, reinforced by Mike Huckabee’s performance in tonight’s debate. If you question my post, I’m going to seriously, and several times, question whether you even read it before commenting or just read about it ……
Fred Thompson wins NH debate…
Being a Fred head, I’ll let others make the case ……
‘Whiskey 4 My Men, Beer 4 My Horses’…
This is a beautifully created video using Toby Keith’s song, ‘Whiskey for My Men, Beer for My Horses.’ It is very moving and touching. If you are a whoos like me, I recommend a tissue or two. You will be filled with pride, and you will also find ……
Sunday Reading List, January 6, 2008…
I would like to start the New Year out with an inspirational Sunday Reading List. The first article is a must read. The individual who mailed me the link said: “Scott Grimshawa is a member of the Air National Guard…
Things I learned from the NH Debates…
Best debate yet. On the Republican side, Romney was dominant but got hit with a lot of cheap personal shots. McCain was not likable. Giuliani was good but didn’t engage in the debate. Huckabee lost his usual aw-shucks charm. Paul is a Libertarian…
Prophylactic War and the Choice Doctrine. Hmmm, Could it work?…
Mutual Assured Destruction (MAD) was posited on the premise that the USA and the USSR were both uncontrollably vengeful.
We’re all crazy, and if you nuke any of us we will kill everyone in your country, even if the process of retaliation and coun…
I like to look a head at polls in the different primaries but the problem is nobody has polled anywhere but Iowa and now NH in weeks. I suspect Hillary’s support has eroded in all those places over time and that Obama isn’t jumping in the polls as much as it appears, but there’s no way to tell.
Public Serpents…
Podcast Show Notes
The New Hampshire GOP rightfully bows out of the Fox News Republican Debate due to their decision to exclude Ron Paul and Duncan Hunter.
Meanwhile, Joe Lierbman says John McCain has better judgment than to put him on the ticket, …
Further Risks of Energy Saving Bulbs…
An excellent expose on the dangers of energy saving bulbs was provided by Conservative Thoughts in “The Risks of Energy Saving Bulbs”. There are real environmental issues that are being created in an attempt to chase this ghost of global warming. I r…
Let’s Hear From “That Other Nut” Too!…
……
[…] Republic, Rosemary’s Thoughts, 123beta, , Adam’s Blog, Right Truth, Shadowscope, Big Dog’s Weblog, The Amboy Times, Cao’s Blog, Conservative Cat, Diary of the Mad Pigeon, Allie is Wired, […]
Adam Gadahn: Idle Threats…
via Gateway Pundit:”The occupied territories are awaiting their first visit by the crusader Bush and the mujahideen are also waiting for him.”Trackposted to Nuke’s, The Virtuous Republic, Rosemary’s T……
[…] post written over here today.agilitynut Have a read:To report violations contact Big Dog (http://www.onebigdog.net/contact/). Fresh off her […]
Mike Huckabee – NH Fox News debate…
In two debates before the New Hampshire primary Mike Huckabee has joked and tried to use his aww shucks personality presentation to sway voters. Unfortunately it’s also been used to avoid giving straight answers and in some cases ……
McCain Still Doesnt Get it and Huckabee Never Did…
Even now, as much as the Democrats have fought it, immigration must be on the front burner in the national elections. Every other issue can be co-opted by the Democrats but not the fight against illegal immigration. If we keep illegal immigration on …..
[…] Thoughts, 123beta, , Adam’s Blog, Right Truth, Shadowscope, DragonLady’s World, Big Dog’s Weblog, The Amboy Times, Cao’s Blog, Conservative Cat, Nuke’s, Faultline USA, […]
[…] Thoughts, Mark My Words, 123beta, Right Truth, Adam’s Blog, DragonLady’s World, Big Dog’s Weblog, The Amboy Times, Cao’s Blog, Conservative Cat, Adeline and Hazel, Nuke’s, third world […]
Tech Lovers: LooK OuT…
Let’s be honest. Most of us have no earthly idea how a computer really works.
I sometimes think it’s magic, no , make that black magic.
……